Nigeria’s economy is expected to witness steady growth, with analysts predicting that the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) could reach 5% under President Bola Tinubu’s administration.
CEO and Founder of Awabah, Tunji Andrews, expressed confidence in this outlook during a discussion on Drinks and Mics, a podcast co-hosted by Ugo Obi-Chukwu, CEO of Naijaonpoint; Dele Akintola, CEO of Alerzo; and Arnold Dublin Green of Cordos Capital.
Speaking against the backdrop of the latest GDP data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) which showed a 3.84% year-on-year GDP growth in Q4 2024 in Nigeria, Andrews stated,
“I expect now that we’re going to start inching up gradually. Towards the end of this administration, we will get 5%. I just believe it. Because the factors are just saying the same thing. The way the statisticians are looking at the numbers are the same. The thing we are adding into GDP. If you look at the trajectory, GDP, adding to the base, rebasing it to a particular year, there is no how we do not hit 5% as long as we remain stable.”
Andrews emphasized that Nigeria’s economic stability is the critical determinant of achieving this projection. He explained that rebasing GDP to a particular year and maintaining stability would naturally lead to a 5% growth rate over the next three to five years.
While his prediction is based on statistical modeling and GDP trajectory, Andrews cautioned that external shocks—such as policy missteps, global financial crises, or disruptions in key economic sectors—could derail this growth.
In its latest report, the Nigerian Economic Summit Group (NESG) has attributed the country’s improved economic growth in 2024 to the gains from the Federal Government’s policy reforms.
The removal of fuel subsidies, exchange rate unification, and aggressive tax reforms were highlighted as key measures that helped stabilize macroeconomic fundamentals and boost investor confidence.