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Cordros raises year-end target price for MTN stock to N616, reveals dividend estimate 

Analysts at Cordros Securities have raised their target price on MTN Nigeria Communications Plc from N588.74 to N616.07 per share, reflecting a 4.6% upside.

In a newly released equity report, Cordros explained that the upgrade follows MTN Nigeria’s strong nine-month performance, supported by robust data demand.

According to the report, the company recorded 57.5% revenue growth, a 15.1 percentage-point year-on-year expansion in EBITDA margin to 51.4%, and delivered Earnings Per Share of N35.77.

Reaffirming their BUY recommendation, the analysts said:

“Following our review, we raise our year-end target price by 4.6% to N616.07, implying a 29.7% upside from the current price of N475.00 (as of Nov 18).” 

They also highlighted MTN Nigeria’s interim dividend of N5.00 per share, which translates to a 3.3% yield.

With this payout in view, Cordros now estimates a total 2025 dividend per share of N15.50.

According to the report, Cordros expects MTN Nigeria’s 2025 performance to improve due to better operating efficiency and a more stable economic environment.

The firm projects that net finance costs, the amount spent on debt after offsetting interest income, will decline by 70.7% year-on-year to N389.84 billion, mainly because finance income is expected to increase.

Cordros has adjusted its estimate for MTN’s operating profitability, placing the EBITDA margin at 51.6%.

The firm also expects customer spending to rise more moderately.

A net foreign-exchange gain of N84.53 billion is anticipated, reversing last year’s losses.

Overall, Cordros forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of N53.31 for the full year 2025, compared with a loss of N19.10 per share in 2024.

MTN Nigeria reported a pre-tax profit of N1.12 trillion for the nine months ended 30 September 2025, bouncing back from a N713.6 billion loss in the same period last year.

In Q3 2025 alone, the company posted a pre-tax profit of N504.2 billion, up sharply from N37.7 billion in Q3 2024.

Revenue for the period reached N3.73 trillion, supported by growth across almost all service lines:

Revenue for the period reached N3.73 trillion, supported by growth across almost all service lines:

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