WATCH THE VIDEO HERE Africa is predicted to gain market share to account for 10% of global natural gas production by 2050 A new report from the Gas Exporting Countries Forum (GECF) has projected a significant growth for the natural gas sector, predicting that global demand for natural gas would rise 34 percent by 2050. The eighth edition of the GECF’s Global Gas Outlook 2050 report made optimistic global forecasts on the future of natural gas, projecting a rise in demand from 4.02 trillion cubic metres (tcm) in 2022 to 5.36tcm in 2050. Total global production was also forecast to grow by 33 percent to reach 5.3tcm by 2050. Much of the projected growth were attributed to the rise in demand for blue hydrogen – hydrogen resulting from a production process fuelled by natural gas coupled with carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS) technology to limit emissions. Hydrogen is frequently touted as the solution for decarbonising hard-to-abate industrial sectors. However, the report noted that the lion’s share of demand expansion comes from the power generation sector, which constitutes 37 percent of the total predicted demand increase. This was due to greater demand for electrification alongside global efforts to phase out coal-fired power plants. It predicted that natural gas would become an important source of back-up power as renewables usage grows. LNG trade was expected to more than double by 2050 to eventually constitute 64 percent of traded gas. According to the report, production of natural gas was, “set for major regional shifts”, with Africa, Eurasia and the Middle East predicted to gain market share to account for 10 percent, 22 percent and 22 percent of global natural gas production, respectively, by 2050. Historically, Algeria and Nigeria have been the largest African exporters of LNG, with several exporting terminals operating for decades. In the foreword the GECF’s Global Gas Outlook 2050 report, which was formally launched at the GECF headquarters in Doha, Qatar, Mohamed Hamel, secretary-general of the GECF, said: “For socio-economic development, environmental protection, and to ensure that no one is left behind, the world requires consuming more natural gas, not less. “Natural gas, along with renewables and cleaner hydrocarbon technologies, provides a realistic pathway to limit global temperature increases to below two degrees Celsius, concurrently supporting poverty eradication and socio-economic development, which are the overriding priorities of developing country Parties under the UNFCCC.”
Nigeria is reputed to have the largest natural gas reserves in Africa and the ninth largest globally.
As regard to trade, liquefied natural gas (LNG) was predicted to overtake long-distance pipeline trade by 2026.
The LNG share of European Union (EU) gas imports was set to skyrocket by 2030, rising from 24 percent in 2022 to 46 percent by 2030.
As a result, North America’s market share of natural gas production is set to decline to 26 percent.
In 2022, Africa exported approximately 42 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) of LNG – or around 5.7 percent of global LNG exports.
With six trains, the Nigeria terminal has an LNG production capacity of 22mtpa, which is expected to increase to 30mtpa by 2030.
“The year 2023 marked a significant turning point, serving as a stark reminder that energy transitions are precisely that – gradual changes, not instantaneous transformations.
Good Tidings For Nigeria As Global Natural Gas Demand To Rise 34% By 2050Global
