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Oil Market Down Amid US Data, Geopolitical Tensions

global oil market

The oil market settled lower on Wednesday as investors weighed US economic growth and assessed the risk of supply disruptions from Venezuela and Russia.

Brent crude futures depleted by 14 cents or 0.2 per cent to close at $62.24 a barrel and the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures declined by 3 cents or 0.05 per cent to $58.29 per barrel.

US data showed the world’s largest economy grew at its fastest pace in two years in the third quarter, fueled by robust consumer spending and a sharp rebound in exports.

The stronger-than-expected increase in gross domestic product last quarter, which was reported by the Commerce Department on Tuesday, showed gross domestic product (GDP) increased at a 4.3 per cent annualized rate last quarter, the fastest pace since the third quarter of 2023.

Still, Brent and WTI prices are on track to drop about 16 per cent and 18 per cent, respectively, this year, their steepest declines since 2020 when the COVID pandemic hit oil demand, as supply is expected to outpace demand next year.

On the supply side, disruptions to Venezuelan exports have been the most significant factor pushing up oil prices, while market analysts noted that Russian and Ukrainian attacks on each other’s energy infrastructure have also supported the market.

Recently, Ukraine launched a drone strike on a Russian shadow fleet vessel in the Mediterranean. The country has been attacking Russian oil refineries throughout 2024 and 2025, but has visibly widened its campaign in recent weeks, striking oil rigs in the Caspian Sea and claiming credit for sea-drone attacks on three tankers in the Black Sea.

Russian President Vladimir Putin, who ordered a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, has threatened to sever Ukraine’s access to the Black Sea in response to the attacks on tankers, which he regards as piracy.

In Venezuela, loaded vessels are waiting for new directions from their owners after the US seized the supertanker Skipper earlier this month and targeted two additional vessels over the weekend.

Reuters reported that oil shipments from Kazakhstan via the Caspian Pipeline Consortium are set to drop by a third in December to the lowest since October 2024 after a Ukrainian drone attack damaged facilities at the main CPC export terminal.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated that crude oil inventories in the US saw a build of 2.4 million barrels in the week ending December 19. Crude oil inventories shrank by 9.3 million barrels in the week prior. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) is due to release official inventory data on Monday, later than usual due to the Christmas holiday.

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