What will Putin do when it dawns on him that his scenarios are not feasible, that he will lose the war, so big and terrible?
And he will lose the war in Ukraine. After all, Putin had hoped for some sort of Austrian Anschluss, with flowers, tears and cheers from the ecstatic supporters of the ‘Russian world’. The plan never came true in Ukraine.
Aware of his shortcomings and realizing the need to maintain power in Russia, what will Putin do? The nuclear topic is not unimportant. The Russians continue to bring it up to talk about it worldwide. And even if they allegedly deny the possibility of using tactical weapons, they make it clear that they can actually do it if “there is a threat to Russia.”
What is a threat to Russia? The existence of the state of Ukraine is considered a threat to Russia in the eyes of the Kremlin. And there are calls to destroy it, as Dmitry Rogozin, formerly responsible for Roscosmos, recently did – to the general approval of the Russian political elite and Putin.
Declaring the occupied Ukrainian territories to be Russia – something the Putin regime is heading towards preparing miserable, totally illegal “referendums” – should make Ukrainian resistance and the eviction of these territories in Moscow impossible. Now it would be a threat to the existence of Russia and an “attack” on “its” side (in fact, stolen from Ukraine). Moscow also suspends US inspections of its nuclear weapons and continues the act of terror in southern Ukraine, where Russian forces seized the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant, the largest in Europe. This makes the nuclear package in Putin’s arsenal quite important.
Is Putin ready to blow up a nuclear power plant? Or will he hold the station hostage and use it to put pressure on the West so that the latter forces Ukrainians to capitulate, disarm, and line up into an Olenivka-esque Russian concentration camp set up by the Putinists?
That is entirely in the spirit of Putin, who still thinks that Ukrainians don’t decide or mean anything, while US President Joe Biden can make them carry out a program of self-destruction for the sake of the rest of the planet or the part Putin threatens to take on to blow and contaminate with radiation. The seizure of a nuclear power plant, the destruction of several power transmission lines and attempts to connect the plant to the Russian electricity grid have greatly increased the risks of a large-scale accident. What is absolutely certain is that Putin sincerely believes that nuclear blackmail can be used to force the West to stop military aid to Ukraine.
I suggest we start thinking logically. Let’s take a look at the worst case scenario, when the West is scared and begins to comply with Putin’s terms in the same way that it meets the demands of the terrorists who seize a passenger ship. So tell me, in such a scenario, will the disaster in Ukraine resolve the issue of nuclear safety? Or would it bring the same problem and danger closer to the borders of the EU and NATO countries?
After all, Putin does not own one reactor, but four (!). That means fifteen working nuclear reactors with a total installed capacity of 13,835 MW plus the shut down Chornobyl nuclear power plant and spent fuel storage facilities. What significant potential to bolster the empire and nuclear blackmail of the West! You probably think that the Russians would be stopped by border signs with the names of countries on them and several thousand NATO soldiers stationed in the Baltic states. But where does this confidence of yours come from? Maybe it’s just an honest belief in good things and childlike optimism.
Yet we must see the state of affairs without rose-colored glasses. I don’t think NATO is ready for a war in Europe, or the Alliance may need time to prepare. The piecemeal transfer of howitzers to Ukraine to deter such a powerful enemy can be explained not only by the reluctance to “increase the degree of conflict”, but because, like the other weapons, the howitzers increase their weight in are worth gold in the NATO countries themselves. They have been preparing for peace, not war, for years.
Do you think Putin doesn’t know this? Didn’t he enjoy watching the political battle over the allies’ bid to meet the 2% defense spending directive? Recall that the Russian dictator demanded that NATO “go back” to its 1997 borders, ie by disarming (demilitarizing) countries like Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Romania and others. Do you know what will happen after disarmament? “Denazification” and “liberation” the Russian way, with millions of refugees abandoning everything: houses, apartments, cars, businesses and jobs; just to save their lives.
Therefore, the idea of ending aid to Ukraine and putting Putin not only a significant portion of all the world’s grain (which can be used to regulate the planet’s food balance and tools to blackmail hunger), but also four other nuclear power plants not a good idea. Evil must be stopped and must not increase, absorb and consume everything in its path, including grain fields, conquered lands, uranium mines and nuclear power plants.
And if anyone in the West thinks that Putin will never do to them what he did to the Ukrainians, I can only say one thing: you are very naive.
Read the original article on The New Voice of Ukraine