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Capital importation: Foreign investors prefer “hot money” over FDI as money markets gulp $2.68billion  

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Foreign investors have increasingly turned to Nigerian treasury bills in the first half of 2024, as money market instruments emerged as the leading contributor to capital importation during the period.

Treasury bills, in particular, were heavily oversubscribed, reflecting strong investor appetite driven by favourable yields in Nigeria’s fixed-income market.

This surge highlights how rising yields, fueled by tighter monetary policy, have drawn both foreign and domestic investors seeking short-term returns.

The Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) aggressive monetary tightening—marked by multiple interest rate hikes—has significantly enhanced the attractiveness of treasury bills.

In its effort to tame inflation and stabilize the naira, the CBN raised the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) from 18.75% in January to 26.25% by June 2024 and as of the time of writing this, the MPR is 27.25%.

The sharp rise in rates created a more appealing environment for fixed-income investments, particularly treasury bills, leading to a surge in demand.

In H1 2024, yields on treasury bills surged across all tenors, positioning them as a prime investment choice for both local and foreign investors.

The 91-day, 182-day, and 364-day bills offered attractive returns of 16.37%, 17.46%, and 20.62%, respectively—up from single-digit levels earlier in the year.

The surge in foreign investment in Nigerian treasury bills during H1 2024 highlights the impact of the CBN’s hawkish policies, which have significantly boosted yields, making government securities more appealing.

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