Italy-Germany: Is There a Favorite in the Nations League Quarter-finals

Italy has finally experienced a generational change. If at Euro 2024 they almost failed (losing to Switzerland in the 1/8 finals), then in the League of Nations on equal terms with France and could take first place in the group. Therefore, most predictions for soccer have become more favorable to this team.

The team has one of the best goalkeepers in the world Gianluigi Donnarruma. Apart from him, the following are performing well:

Calafiori;
Frattesi;
Retegui;
Raspadori;
Barella.

Also, young and gifted players (Daniel Maldini, etc) are being brought up. Therefore, Luciano Spalletti has a lot to choose from. All that remains is to pick the right squad, and this specialist will have no problems with it. And it is also necessary to take into account the capabilities and discipline of the German national team.

Germany is already becoming a machine. The team at the Euros lost to future winners Spain in a difficult encounter (the penalty on Cucurella was discussed for a long time). In the Nations League, the team showed itself perfectly, winning 4 matches and taking first place in the group. However, there were still questions about the team’s stability. At times, it failed, and the match with Hungary is proof of that.

The goalkeeper position is the most questionable in the squad. After the end of Manuel Neuer's career in the national team, the goalkeeper position can be closed by Nubel or Baumann. In other positions, Nagelsmann has a good selection of players from German and top European clubs. Their discipline should help the team score well. But recently, their defense has not been as reliable as always (in 3 matches the team conceded in the group stage).

Despite Italy’s readiness in this case, Nagelsmann’s men should still be favored for experience and cohesion. Yes, it will not be an easy victory, and most likely Retegui will find his moment and Scuadra will score. But the Bundesmachine is still predicted to win, albeit with a minimum score. This is indicated by the cohesion of their team and the chemistry between the players. Italy still has top players, but even from different championships.

Therefore, we predict a victory for Germany, but it will not be easy.

Analysts of xGscore.io carefully check all the matches between the teams and their readiness to play in optimal lineups. It is not a problem for Germany and Italy to find strong players, even if someone can’t come to the game. But in this case, the team’s approach in excellent conditions. Scoring Retegui allows the Scuadra to count on goals. But overall, as a team, it is Germany that will look more favorable.

Please note that the forecast does not guarantee successful bets. Football is bright emotions and unpredictable matches. So, enjoy the game and make your predictions, but take into account the opinion of our experts.